1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes 1461 Trabzon FK the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Serik Spor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate 1461 Trabzon FK (1,655) and Serik Spor (1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1461 Trabzon FK have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Serik Spor have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 3-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 1-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hatayspor(home) | 4-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 1-6 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 1461 Trabzon FK win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Serik Spor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | 1461 Trabzon FK 2-0 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Serik Spor 2-2 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Serik Spor 1-2 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1461 Trabzon FK 1-0 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1461 Trabzon FK 5-1 Serik Spor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Serik Spor 0-2 1461 Trabzon FK | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: 1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor on Apr 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
1461 Trabzon FK score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Serik Spor score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1461 Trabzon FK | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Serik Spor | 1.4 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1461 Trabzon FK | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 51 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor?
- The Footlab model makes 1461 Trabzon FK the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Serik Spor.
- Where and when is 1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor played?
- 1461 Trabzon FK vs Serik Spor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.