Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Eryaman Stadyumu, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for İnegölspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Ankaragücü (1,798) and İnegölspor (1,756).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ankaragücü have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; İnegölspor have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | İskenderunspor(home) | 4-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erbaaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | İnegölspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kepezspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bucaspor 1928(home) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 1-4 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ankaragücü win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 İnegölspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ankaragücü 1-2 İnegölspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 16, 2025 | İnegölspor 1-2 Ankaragücü | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ankaragücü score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; İnegölspor score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankaragücü | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| İnegölspor | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ankaragücü sit 6th in 2. Lig (63 points from 36 matches) and İnegölspor sit 7th (60 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ankaragücü | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 41 | 63 |
| 7 | İnegölspor | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 67 | 44 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaragücü the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for İnegölspor.
- Where and when is Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor played?
- Ankaragücü vs İnegölspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Eryaman Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.