Kütahyaspor vs Yeni Orduspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kütahya Dumlupınar Stadyumu, Kütahya
The Footlab model makes Kütahyaspor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Yeni Orduspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kütahyaspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Kütahyaspor (1,759) and Yeni Orduspor (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kütahyaspor have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Yeni Orduspor have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Söke 1970(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bornova 1877(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-4 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Denizli İYG(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(home) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kütahyaspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Yeni Orduspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Yeni Orduspor 1-2 Kütahyaspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Kütahyaspor 0-0 Yeni Orduspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Yeni Orduspor vs Kütahyaspor on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Kütahyaspor score 2.2 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Yeni Orduspor score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kütahyaspor | 2.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Yeni Orduspor | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kütahyaspor vs Yeni Orduspor?
- The Footlab model makes Kütahyaspor the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Yeni Orduspor.
- Where and when is Kütahyaspor vs Yeni Orduspor played?
- Kütahyaspor vs Yeni Orduspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kütahya Dumlupınar Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.