Kırklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kırklareli Atatürk Stadyumu, Kırklareli
The Footlab model makes Sakaryaspor the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kırklarelispor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kırklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Kırklarelispor (1,567) and Sakaryaspor (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kırklarelispor have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Sakaryaspor have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 0-5 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hatayspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Kırklarelispor win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sakaryaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2021 | Sakaryaspor 1-1 Kırklarelispor | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Kırklarelispor 0-0 Sakaryaspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Sakaryaspor 0-0 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 15, 2018 | Sakaryaspor 3-1 Kırklarelispor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Kırklarelispor 2-3 Sakaryaspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Sakaryaspor vs Kırklarelispor on Aug 23, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Kırklarelispor score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sakaryaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kırklarelispor | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sakaryaspor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kırklarelispor | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 49 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kırklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Sakaryaspor the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kırklarelispor.
- Where and when is Kırklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor played?
- Kırklarelispor vs Sakaryaspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kırklareli Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.