Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor vs Ankara Demirspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig Red Group - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kahramanmaraş Batıpark Stadyumu, Kahramanmaraş
The Footlab model makes Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Ankara Demirspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor vs Ankara Demirspor?
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor starts as the favourite with a 144-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ankara Demirspor have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Güzide Gebzespor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Ankara Demirspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor 2-0 Ankara Demirspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Ankara Demirspor 0-3 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor vs Ankara Demirspor on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ankara Demirspor score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ankara Demirspor | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor sit 5th in 2. Lig (67 points from 34 matches) and Ankara Demirspor sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 82 | 33 | 67 |
| 9 | Ankara Demirspor | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor vs Ankara Demirspor?
- The Footlab model makes Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Ankara Demirspor.
- Where and when is Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor vs Ankara Demirspor played?
- Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor vs Ankara Demirspor is played on October 4, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kahramanmaraş Batıpark Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.