1860 München II vs Sportfreunde Schwaig: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 32Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Gilching, Gilching
The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1860 München II vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
1860 München II starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1860 München II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Landshut(away) | 2-6 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erlbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 1860 München II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1860 München II 3-0 Sportfreunde Schwaig | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-3 1860 München II | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: 1860 München II vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1860 München II score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1860 München II | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1860 München II sit 1st in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (72 points from 33 matches) and Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th (46 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1860 München II | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 76 | 25 | 72 |
| 9 | Sportfreunde Schwaig | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 49 | 45 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1860 München II vs Sportfreunde Schwaig?
- The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
- Where and when is 1860 München II vs Sportfreunde Schwaig played?
- 1860 München II vs Sportfreunde Schwaig is played on May 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Gilching, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.