Erlbach vs Schwabmünchen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 32Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Erlbach, Erlbach
The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erlbach vs Schwabmünchen?
Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,723).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erlbach vs Schwabmünchen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erlbach
Not enough data to predict the Erlbach lineup.
Schwabmünchen
Not enough data to predict the Schwabmünchen lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erlbach have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Schwabmünchen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pipinsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Landshut(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Erlbach score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Schwabmünchen score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlbach | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Schwabmünchen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
A question about Erlbach vs Schwabmünchen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erlbach vs Schwabmünchen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Schwabmünchen.
- Where and when is Erlbach vs Schwabmünchen played?
- Erlbach vs Schwabmünchen is played on May 7, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Erlbach, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 7, 20271860 München IIvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- May 7, 20271860 RosenheimvsHeimstetten
- May 7, 20271880 WasserburgvsHankofen-Hailing
- May 8, 2027IsmaningvsTuS Geretsried
- May 8, 2027DeisenhofenvsLandshut
- May 8, 2027KotternvsPipinsried
- May 8, 2027GundelfingenvsPfaffenhofen
- May 8, 2027KirchanschöringvsSchalding-Heining