Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 32Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, Ismaning
The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Ismaning (1,720) and TuS Geretsried (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ismaning have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; TuS Geretsried have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 5-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Landshut(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pfaffenhofen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ismaning win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 TuS Geretsried win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ismaning 1-1 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 19, 2025 | TuS Geretsried 1-1 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ismaning score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismaning | 1.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| TuS Geretsried | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ismaning sit 12th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (42 points from 32 matches) and TuS Geretsried sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TuS Geretsried | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
| 12 | Ismaning | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 58 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried?
- The Footlab model makes Ismaning the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried played?
- Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried is played on May 8, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Professor Erich Greipl Stadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 7, 2027ErlbachvsSchwabmünchen
- May 7, 20271860 RosenheimvsHeimstetten
- May 7, 20271860 München IIvsSportfreunde Schwaig
- May 7, 20271880 WasserburgvsHankofen-Hailing
- May 8, 2027DeisenhofenvsLandshut
- May 8, 2027KotternvsPipinsried
- May 8, 2027GundelfingenvsPfaffenhofen
- May 8, 2027KirchanschöringvsSchalding-Heining