3K vs Mathare United: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes 3K the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Mathare United. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 3K vs Mathare United?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate 3K (1,480) and Mathare United (1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 3K have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Mathare United have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Talanta(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
3K score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mathare United score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3K | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mathare United | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 35 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 3K vs Mathare United?
- The Footlab model makes 3K the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Mathare United.
- Where and when is 3K vs Mathare United played?
- 3K vs Mathare United is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.