Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 11Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)SportPesa Arena, Murang'a
The Footlab AI model makes Murang'a SEAL the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shabana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Murang'a SEAL wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Murang'a SEAL (1,481) and Shabana (1,531).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Murang'a SEAL
Not enough data to predict the Murang'a SEAL lineup.
Shabana
Not enough data to predict the Shabana lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 03:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Murang'a SEAL have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Shabana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 5-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Murang'a SEAL win, 1 draw, 4 Shabana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Shabana 1-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL 1-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Shabana 3-0 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Murang'a SEAL 0-1 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Shabana 0-1 Murang'a SEAL | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Murang'a SEAL score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shabana score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murang'a SEAL | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Shabana | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Murang'a SEAL sit 8th in FKF Premier League (8 points from 6 matches) and Shabana sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Murang'a SEAL | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Murang'a SEAL the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shabana.
- Where and when is Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana played?
- Murang'a SEAL vs Shabana is played on November 20, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at SportPesa Arena, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.