3K vs Migori Youth: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 34%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for 3K. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 3K vs Migori Youth?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate 3K (1,480) and Migori Youth (1,539).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 3K have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Migori Youth have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Talanta(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3K(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Equity Bank(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Kisumu All Stars(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 27, 2026 | MCF(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kibera Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 3K win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Migori Youth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | 3K 1-1 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Migori Youth 1-1 3K | Super League |
| May 4, 2025 | 3K 2-1 Migori Youth | Super League |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Migori Youth 1-0 3K | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
3K score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Migori Youth score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3K | 1.8 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Migori Youth | 1.6 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 3K vs Migori Youth?
- The Footlab model makes Migori Youth the favourite at 34%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for 3K.
- Where and when is 3K vs Migori Youth played?
- 3K vs Migori Youth is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.