Nairobi United vs Shabana: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Shabana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nairobi United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nairobi United vs Shabana?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Nairobi United (1,544) and Shabana (1,531).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nairobi United vs Shabana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nairobi United
4-3-3- 33B. Ochieng
- 5S. Mwinyi
- 10H. Muhadjiri
- 29D. Odhiambo
- 24L. Owino
- 26B. Mzee
- 34L. Ogutu
- 2Y. Mainge
- 12K. Otiende
- 4J. Otieno
- 32K. Oduor
Shabana
Not enough data to predict the Shabana lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nairobi United have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Shabana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mombasa Elite(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kenya Police(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Migori Youth(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | AFC Leopards(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nairobi United(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Nairobi United wins, 1 draw, 0 Shabana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shabana 0-0 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Nairobi United 3-0 Shabana | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Shabana 1-3 Nairobi United | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Shabana vs Nairobi United on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nairobi United score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shabana score 0.7 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Shabana | 0.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nairobi United sit 15th in FKF Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and Shabana sit 5th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 15 | Nairobi United | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Nairobi United vs Shabana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nairobi United vs Shabana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nairobi United the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Shabana.
- Where and when is Nairobi United vs Shabana played?
- Nairobi United vs Shabana is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.