AFC Leopards vs Police: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for AFC Leopards. The most likely score is 0-0. If Police wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Police?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate AFC Leopards (1,583) and Police (1,602).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AFC Leopards vs Police
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Police
Not enough data to predict the Police lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Leopards have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Police have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Migori Youth(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tusker(away) | 1-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 AFC Leopards wins, 2 draws, 2 Police wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | AFC Leopards 0-3 Police | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Police 0-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Police 0-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2024 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Police | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2024 | Police 1-0 AFC Leopards | Shield Cup |
| May 15, 2024 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Police | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Leopards vs Police on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Leopards score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Police score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Leopards | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Police | 1.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Leopards sit 13th in FKF Premier League (1 point from 1 match) and Police sit 9th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about AFC Leopards vs Police?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Leopards vs Police?
- The Footlab AI model makes Police the favourite at 35%, against 34% for a draw and 31% for AFC Leopards.
- Where and when is AFC Leopards vs Police played?
- AFC Leopards vs Police is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.