Mombasa Elite vs KCB: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mbaraki Sports Club, Mombasa
The Footlab AI model makes KCB the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Mombasa Elite. The most likely score is 0-0. If KCB wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs KCB?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Mombasa Elite (1,408) and KCB (1,491).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mombasa Elite vs KCB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mombasa Elite
Not enough data to predict the Mombasa Elite lineup.
KCB
Not enough data to predict the KCB lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mombasa Elite have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; KCB have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Naivas(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Luanda Villa(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-2 | Shield Cup |
| May 31, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Sofapaka(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mombasa Elite score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; KCB score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mombasa Elite | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| KCB | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mombasa Elite sit 16th in FKF Premier League (0 points from 1 match) and KCB sit 5th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | KCB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Mombasa Elite | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
A question about Mombasa Elite vs KCB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mombasa Elite vs KCB?
- The Footlab AI model makes KCB the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Mombasa Elite.
- Where and when is Mombasa Elite vs KCB played?
- Mombasa Elite vs KCB is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mbaraki Sports Club, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.