Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
The Footlab model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Ulinzi Stars (1,485) and Homeboyz (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Homeboyz have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Shabana(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | AFC Leopards(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ulinzi Stars win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Homeboyz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Homeboyz 0-1 Ulinzi Stars | Shield Cup |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 1-1 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Homeboyz 3-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 0-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Homeboyz 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Homeboyz 2-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Homeboyz score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Homeboyz | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulinzi Stars sit 13th in FKF Premier League (41 points from 34 matches) and Homeboyz sit 6th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 49 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
- The Footlab model makes Homeboyz the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz played?
- Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Afraha Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.