A'Ali vs Manama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes A'Ali the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Manama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win A'Ali vs Manama?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate A'Ali (1,516) and Manama (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, A'Ali have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Manama have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Muharraq(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Budaiya(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2026 | Al-Hidd(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Sitra(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Al Riffa(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 21, 2026 | Budaiya(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 2-2 | King's Cup |
| Jan 12, 2026 | East Riffa(away) | 1-1 | King's Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 A'Ali win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Manama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2025 | A'Ali 1-1 Manama | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Manama 2-2 A'Ali | Premier League |
| Jan 14, 2024 | A'Ali 2-4 Manama | Federation Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
A'Ali score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Manama score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'Ali | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Manama | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
A'Ali sit 4th in Premier League (34 points from 23 matches) and Manama sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Manama | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | A'Ali | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 20 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for A'Ali vs Manama?
- The Footlab model makes A'Ali the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Manama.
- Where and when is A'Ali vs Manama played?
- A'Ali vs Manama is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.