Al Riffa vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab model makes Al Riffa the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Al Ittifaq Maqaba. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Riffa vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba?
Al Riffa is a heavy favourite: 1,722 Elo points against 1,357, a 365-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Riffa have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Al Ittifaq Maqaba have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Bahrain SC(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 11, 2026 | Malkiya(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Al Shabab(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Al Ahli(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Muharraq(away) | 1-2 | King's Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Al Ahli(away) | 2-2 | King's Cup |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Sitra(home) | 2-0 | King's Cup |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Al Ittihad(away) | 5-1 | King's Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Al Ahli(home) | 1-2 | King's Cup |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Isa Town(home) | 1-0 | King's Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Riffa score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ittifaq Maqaba score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Riffa | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Al Ittifaq Maqaba | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Riffa | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 17 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Riffa vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba?
- The Footlab model makes Al Riffa the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Al Ittifaq Maqaba.
- Where and when is Al Riffa vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba played?
- Al Riffa vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.