Al Najma vs Khalidiya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), Riffa
The Footlab model makes Khalidiya the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Al Najma. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Najma vs Khalidiya?
Khalidiya is a heavy favourite: 1,794 Elo points against 1,490 — a 304-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Najma have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Khalidiya have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Manama(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Budaiya(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 21, 2026 | Al Ittihad(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Khalidiya(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Bahrain SC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Al Najma(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 11, 2026 | Muharraq(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Budaiya(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Al-Hidd(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sitra(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Al Najma win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Khalidiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Al Najma 1-3 Khalidiya | Premier League |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Khalidiya 3-0 Al Najma | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Khalidiya 2-1 Al Najma | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Al Najma 1-3 Khalidiya | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Khalidiya 4-1 Al Najma | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Al Najma 1-1 Khalidiya | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Najma vs Khalidiya on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Al Najma score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Khalidiya score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Najma | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Khalidiya | 2.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Najma sit 10th in Premier League (22 points from 22 matches) and Khalidiya sit 2nd (54 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Khalidiya | 22 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 16 | 54 |
| 10 | Al Najma | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 35 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Najma vs Khalidiya?
- The Footlab model makes Khalidiya the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Al Najma.
- Where and when is Al Najma vs Khalidiya played?
- Al Najma vs Khalidiya is played on August 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stād al-Bahrayn al-Watanī (Bahrain National Stadium), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.