Orkla vs Nardo: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Orkla Sparebank Stadion, Fannrem
The Footlab AI model makes Nardo the favourite at 61%, against 17% for a draw and 22% for Orkla. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orkla vs Nardo?
Nardo starts as the favourite with a 202-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,438).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Orkla vs Nardo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Orkla
Not enough data to predict the Orkla lineup.
Nardo
Not enough data to predict the Nardo lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orkla have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nardo have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Volda(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Aalesund II(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Herd(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | NTNUI(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Ranheim II(home) | 4-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rosenborg II(away) | 5-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Orkla wins, 1 draw, 5 Nardo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Nardo 3-0 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Orkla 0-0 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Nardo 4-0 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Orkla 1-3 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Nardo 4-1 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Orkla 2-4 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orkla score 1.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nardo score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orkla | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Nardo | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orkla sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (20 points from 23 matches) and Nardo sit 8th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nardo | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 50 | 47 | 29 |
| 14 | Orkla | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 63 | 20 |
A question about Orkla vs Nardo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orkla vs Nardo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nardo the favourite at 61%, against 17% for a draw and 22% for Orkla.
- Where and when is Orkla vs Nardo played?
- Orkla vs Nardo is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Orkla Sparebank Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.