Orkla vs Nardo: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 25Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Orkla Sparebank Stadion, Fannrem
The Footlab model makes Nardo the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Orkla. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orkla vs Nardo?
Nardo starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,565 vs 1,433).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orkla have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Nardo have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Melhus(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Volda(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spjelkavik(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ranheim II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Orkla win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Nardo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Nardo 3-0 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Orkla 0-0 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Nardo 4-0 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Orkla 1-3 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Nardo 4-1 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Orkla 2-4 Nardo | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Orkla score 1.8 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nardo score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orkla | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Nardo | 1.9 | 2.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orkla sit 10th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (11 points from 9 matches) and Nardo sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Orkla | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 13 | Nardo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 8 |
| 13 | Nardo | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 14 |
| 14 | Orkla | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orkla vs Nardo?
- The Footlab model makes Nardo the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Orkla.
- Where and when is Orkla vs Nardo played?
- Orkla vs Nardo is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Orkla Sparebank Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.