Aalesund II vs NTNUI: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Color Line Stadion, Ålesund
The Footlab model makes Aalesund II the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for NTNUI. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalesund II vs NTNUI?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Aalesund II (1,528) and NTNUI (1,486).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalesund II have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; NTNUI have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Herd(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Strindheim(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Orkla(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strindheim(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Byåsen(home) | 0-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Ranheim II(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Herd(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Aalesund II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 NTNUI win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | NTNUI 0-1 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 4, 2021 | NTNUI 1-3 Aalesund II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Aalesund II score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; NTNUI score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalesund II | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| NTNUI | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalesund II sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (7 points from 9 matches) and NTNUI sit 7th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | NTNUI | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | Aalesund II | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 45 | 16 |
| 12 | NTNUI | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 15 |
| 14 | Aalesund II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalesund II vs NTNUI?
- The Footlab model makes Aalesund II the favourite at 55%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for NTNUI.
- Where and when is Aalesund II vs NTNUI played?
- Aalesund II vs NTNUI is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Color Line Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.