Volda vs Orkla: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sparebank 1 Bana, Volda
The Footlab model makes Volda the favourite at 78%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for Orkla. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Volda vs Orkla?
Volda starts as the favourite with a 266-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,433).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Volda have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Orkla have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brattvåg(home) | 2-6 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Byåsen(away) | 0-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nardo(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Herd(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Ranheim II(home) | 7-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Volda win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Orkla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Orkla 2-5 Volda | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Orkla 2-2 Volda | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Volda score 2.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Orkla score 1.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volda | 2.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Orkla | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Volda sit 4th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (14 points from 9 matches) and Orkla sit 10th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volda | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 33 |
| 4 | Volda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Orkla | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Orkla | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Volda vs Orkla?
- The Footlab model makes Volda the favourite at 78%, against 12% for a draw and 9% for Orkla.
- Where and when is Volda vs Orkla played?
- Volda vs Orkla is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sparebank 1 Bana, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.