Molde II vs Herd: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Aker Stadion, Molde
The Footlab model makes Herd the favourite at 42%, against 19% for a draw and 39% for Molde II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molde II vs Herd?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Molde II (1,565) and Herd (1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molde II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Herd have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(home) | 6-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Byåsen(home) | 6-6 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ranheim II(home) | 9-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Volda(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | NTNUI(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Molde II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Herd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Herd 3-3 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Molde II score 2.9 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Herd score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 85% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde II | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Herd | 2.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molde II sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (12 points from 9 matches) and Herd sit 2nd (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Herd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Herd | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Molde II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 46 | 48 | 22 |
| 8 | Molde II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 25 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molde II vs Herd?
- The Footlab model makes Herd the favourite at 42%, against 19% for a draw and 39% for Molde II.
- Where and when is Molde II vs Herd played?
- Molde II vs Herd is played on October 2, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Aker Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.