Rosenborg II vs Melhus: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Skoglunden, Trondheim
The Footlab model makes Rosenborg II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Melhus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosenborg II vs Melhus?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Rosenborg II (1,628) and Melhus (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosenborg II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Melhus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Molde II(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ranheim II(home) | 7-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Strindheim(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(home) | 0-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orkla(home) | 8-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Herd(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rosenborg II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Melhus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Melhus 1-1 Rosenborg II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Rosenborg II 2-3 Melhus | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 2, 2025 | Melhus 4-1 Rosenborg II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Rosenborg II 1-2 Melhus | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| May 27, 2024 | Melhus 2-2 Rosenborg II | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Rosenborg II 2-0 Melhus | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
Last archived meeting: Melhus vs Rosenborg II on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosenborg II score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Melhus score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenborg II | 2.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Melhus | 2.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosenborg II sit 9th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (11 points from 9 matches) and Melhus sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melhus | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Melhus | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 32 |
| 5 | Rosenborg II | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 25 |
| 9 | Rosenborg II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosenborg II vs Melhus?
- The Footlab model makes Rosenborg II the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Melhus.
- Where and when is Rosenborg II vs Melhus played?
- Rosenborg II vs Melhus is played on October 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Skoglunden, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.