FC Fredericia vs Hillerød: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Monjasa Park, Fredericia
The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hillerød. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Fredericia vs Hillerød?
FC Fredericia starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,944 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Fredericia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hillerød have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Aalborg(away) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SfB-Oure(away) | 6-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vejle(away) | 4-5 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Vaeggerlose(away) | 12-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Esbjerg(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Fredericia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hillerød win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | FC Fredericia 0-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Hillerød 0-3 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Hillerød 1-1 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
| Aug 11, 2023 | FC Fredericia 3-2 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| May 26, 2023 | FC Fredericia 4-0 Hillerød | 1. Division |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Hillerød 1-2 FC Fredericia | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: FC Fredericia vs Hillerød on Mar 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Fredericia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hillerød score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Fredericia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Hillerød | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Fredericia sit 4th in 1. Division (9 points from 5 matches) and Hillerød sit 11th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Fredericia vs Hillerød?
- The Footlab model makes FC Fredericia the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hillerød.
- Where and when is FC Fredericia vs Hillerød played?
- FC Fredericia vs Hillerød is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Monjasa Park, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.