Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
The Footlab AI model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Dundee Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberdeen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Aberdeen (1,886) and Dundee Utd (1,884).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aberdeen
5-3-2- 15K. Nisbet
- 9A. Mouloua
- 25C. Ronan
- 40F. Marshall
- 32A. Aremu
- 28C. Cadden
- 24N. Guinness-Walker
- 21G. Molloy
- 5M. Knoester
- 22J. Milne
- 27M. Müller
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 21J. Randall
- 93I. Metsoko
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 14Zidane Iqbal
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberdeen have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dundee Utd have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aberdeen win, 3 draws, 2 Dundee Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Aberdeen 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Dundee Utd 0-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dundee Utd 2-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| May 17, 2025 | Dundee Utd 2-1 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Aberdeen 2-2 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberdeen score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Dundee Utd | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberdeen sit 8th in Premiership (8 points from 8 matches) and Dundee Utd sit 6th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Dundee Utd.
- Where and when is Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd played?
- Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pittodrie Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.