Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
The Footlab model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dundee Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Aberdeen (1,872) and Dundee Utd (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberdeen have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Dundee Utd have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundee(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 3-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 4-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-4 | Premiership |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aberdeen win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Dundee Utd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Aberdeen 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Dundee Utd 0-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dundee Utd 2-0 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| May 17, 2025 | Dundee Utd 2-1 Aberdeen | Premiership |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Aberdeen 2-2 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberdeen score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee Utd score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberdeen | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Dundee Utd | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberdeen sit 8th in Premiership (3 points from 2 matches) and Dundee Utd sit 11th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aberdeen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Dundee Utd | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd?
- The Footlab model makes Aberdeen the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Dundee Utd.
- Where and when is Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd played?
- Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pittodrie Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.