Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tannadice Park, Dundee
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
On Elo ratings, Dundee Utd has 1,832 points and ST Mirren 1,804.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundee Utd
4-3-3- 77D. Bennie
- 21J. Randall
- 93I. Metsoko
- 10D. Tait
- 16L. Cameron
- 14Zidane Iqbal
- 18M. Forbes
- 3B. Esselink
- 23J. Rawlins
- 19K. Ciubotaru
- 1J. Walton
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 30F. Taylor
- 48P. Nsio
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 47C. Ramsay
- 1J. Chapman
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee Utd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ST Mirren have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Falkirk(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dundee Utd wins, 1 draw, 2 ST Mirren wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-3 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| May 17, 2026 | ST Mirren 1-1 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Dundee Utd 2-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 6, 2025 | ST Mirren 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Dundee Utd 3-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| May 10, 2025 | Dundee Utd 0-2 ST Mirren | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee Utd score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee Utd sit 6th in Premiership (11 points from 8 matches) and ST Mirren sit 7th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee Utd the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren played?
- Dundee Utd vs ST Mirren is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tannadice Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.