Aberystwyth Town vs Carmarthen Town: result 4-1 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2011 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
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What was the result of Aberystwyth Town vs Carmarthen Town?
Aberystwyth Town won 4-1 on December 26, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 4′D. ThomasAberystwyth Town
- 16′S. JamesAberystwyth Town
- 44′Steffan WilliamsCarmarthen Town
- 75′Andy ParkinsonAberystwyth Town
- 83′K. NalborskiAberystwyth Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Carmarthen Town have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | Llanelli(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2011 | The New Saints(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Afan Lido(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Prestatyn Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 18, 2011 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2011 | The New Saints(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2011 | Airbus UK(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2011 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Bangor City(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2011 | Neath(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carmarthen Town score 0.9 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Carmarthen Town | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy