Match

Sassuolo vs Lazio: prediction and stats

Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

SassuoloLazio

The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lazio wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?

Lazio starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (2,051 vs 1,946).

28%27%45%
Sassuolo winDrawLazio win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sassuolo vs Lazio

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sassuolo

4-3-3
  1. 45A. Laurienté
  2. 94S. Esposito
  3. 10D. Berardi
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 50D. Bakola
  3. 17Vasilije Adžić
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 16F. Leysen
  3. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  4. 20I. Van der Brempt
  1. 49A. Murić

Lazio

4-3-3
  1. 10M. Zaccagni
  2. 14T. Noslin
  3. 11G. Isaksen
  1. 21R. Belahyane
  2. 24K. Taylor
  3. 16D. Frattesi
  1. 15R. Floriani Mussolini
  2. 25O. Provstgaard
  3. 5D. Doekhi
  4. 17Nuno Tavares
  1. 35C. Mandas

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sassuolo have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Lazio have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026AC Milan(home)1-1Serie A
Sep 18, 2026Monza(away)1-2Serie A
Sep 13, 2026Juventus(home)3-2Serie A
Sep 6, 2026Bologna(away)2-2Serie A
Sep 2, 2026Frosinone(home)1-1Coppa Italia
Lazio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Monza(home)3-1Serie A
Oct 3, 2026Juve Stabia(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs
Sep 27, 2026Arezzo(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Venezia(away)2-0Serie A
Sep 12, 2026AC Milan(home)2-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sassuolo win, 1 draw, 4 Lazio wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2026Lazio 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
Sep 14, 2025Sassuolo 1-0 LazioSerie A
May 26, 2024Lazio 1-1 SassuoloSerie A
Oct 21, 2023Sassuolo 0-2 LazioSerie A
May 3, 2023Lazio 2-0 SassuoloSerie A
Jan 15, 2023Sassuolo 0-2 LazioSerie A

Last archived meeting: Lazio vs Sassuolo on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sassuolo1.61.7212/1511/15
Lazio2.51.068/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sassuolo sit 11th in Serie A (8 points from 6 matches) and Lazio sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Lazio651011416
11Sassuolo622210108

A question about Sassuolo vs Lazio?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Lazio?
The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sassuolo.
Where and when is Sassuolo vs Lazio played?
Sassuolo vs Lazio is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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