Parma vs Udinese: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
The Footlab model makes Udinese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Parma (1,960) and Udinese (2,033).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Udinese have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Catania(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Padova(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parma win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Udinese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Udinese 0-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Parma 0-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Udinese 1-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Parma 2-3 Udinese | Serie A |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Parma 2-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Udinese 3-2 Parma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Udinese score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Udinese | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 16th in Serie A (0 points from 1 matches) and Udinese sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parma vs Udinese?
- The Footlab model makes Udinese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Parma.
- Where and when is Parma vs Udinese played?
- Parma vs Udinese is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.