Parma vs Udinese: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
The Footlab AI model makes Udinese the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Parma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Udinese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Parma (1,923) and Udinese (2,004).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Parma vs Udinese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Parma
3-4-2-1- 19E. Touré
- 14E. Valeri
- 15E. Del Prato
- 16M. Keita
- 4V. Sierro
- 27S. Britschgi
- 32C. Ordoñez
- 37M. Troilo
- 34Diego Carlos
- 72D. Drobnic
- 40E. Corvi
Udinese
3-4-2-1- 32J. Ekkelenkamp
- 23M. Vojvoda
- 8J. Karlström
- 11H. Kamara
- 38L. Miller
- 24J. Piotrowski
- 6Oier Zarraga
- 77E. Ebosse
- 14J. Abankwah
- 27C. Kabasele
- 40M. Okoye
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parma have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Udinese have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Inter(away) | 3-5 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parma win, 1 draw, 4 Udinese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Udinese 0-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Parma 0-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Udinese 1-0 Parma | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Parma 2-3 Udinese | Serie A |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Parma 2-2 Udinese | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Udinese 3-2 Parma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Parma score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Udinese score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Udinese | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parma sit 15th in Serie A (4 points from 5 matches) and Udinese sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Parma vs Udinese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parma vs Udinese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Udinese the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Parma.
- Where and when is Parma vs Udinese played?
- Parma vs Udinese is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ennio Tardini, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.