AC Milan vs Genoa: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 27, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
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What was the result of AC Milan vs Genoa?
AC Milan won 1-0 on October 27, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 77′S. El ShaarawyAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Genoa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2012 | Malaga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Lazio(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Inter(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Zenit(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Parma(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2012 | AS Roma(home) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Udinese(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2012 | Parma(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Lazio(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 AC Milan win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Genoa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2012 | AC Milan 1-0 Genoa | Serie A |
| Dec 2, 2011 | Genoa 0-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Feb 6, 2011 | Genoa 1-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2010 | AC Milan 1-0 Genoa | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Genoa score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Genoa | 1.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 4th in Serie A (3 points from 1 matches) and Genoa sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AC Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy