Moreirense vs Santa Clara: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Moreirense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Clara wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Moreirense (2,049) and Santa Clara (2,137).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moreirense vs Santa Clara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moreirense
4-2-3-1- 79L. Vonić
- 23N. John
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
- 65Guilherme Liberato
- 10Kiko Bondoso
- 19Tiago Andrade
- 66Gilberto Batista
- 27Kiko
- 26Maracás
- 76Dinis Pinto
- 13André Ferreira
Santa Clara
4-3-3- 9Gonçalo Paciência
- 70Vinícius Lopes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8José Luís Rocha Tavares
- 20Tiago Ribeiro
- 5Guilherme Romão
- 4Pedro Pacheco
- 21Emanuel Fernandes
- 42Lucas Soares
- 1Lucas França
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moreirense have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Santa Clara have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AVS(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | GIL Vicente(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guimaraes(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Maritimo(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casa Pia(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arouca(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Moreirense wins, 1 draw, 2 Santa Clara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Santa Clara 2-1 Moreirense | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Santa Clara 0-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Santa Clara 1-1 Moreirense | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Moreirense 1-0 Santa Clara | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Santa Clara 4-2 Moreirense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Santa Clara vs Moreirense on Jul 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moreirense score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Clara score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Santa Clara | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moreirense sit 12th in Primeira Liga (8 points from 8 matches) and Santa Clara sit 4th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
A question about Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Clara the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Moreirense.
- Where and when is Moreirense vs Santa Clara played?
- Moreirense vs Santa Clara is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.