Academico Viseu vs Casa Pia: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
The Footlab model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Casa Pia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Casa Pia?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Academico Viseu (1,995) and Casa Pia (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academico Viseu have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Casa Pia have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-7 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maritimo(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Academico Viseu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Casa Pia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | Casa Pia 0-1 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Academico Viseu 2-1 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Academico Viseu 1-4 Casa Pia | Taça da Liga |
| May 2, 2021 | Casa Pia 0-0 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 5, 2021 | Academico Viseu 1-1 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Academico Viseu 1-0 Casa Pia | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Casa Pia vs Academico Viseu on Jan 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Academico Viseu score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Casa Pia score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Casa Pia | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academico Viseu sit 12th in Primeira Liga (2 points from 3 matches) and Casa Pia sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academico Viseu vs Casa Pia?
- The Footlab model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Casa Pia.
- Where and when is Academico Viseu vs Casa Pia played?
- Academico Viseu vs Casa Pia is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.