SC Braga vs FC Porto: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
The Footlab model makes FC Porto the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for SC Braga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Braga vs FC Porto?
FC Porto starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,356 vs 2,254).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Braga have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; FC Porto have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Moreirense(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rio Ave(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alverca(home) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 1-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SC Braga win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 FC Porto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | SC Braga 1-2 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | FC Porto 2-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SC Braga 1-0 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | FC Porto 2-1 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | SC Braga 0-1 FC Porto | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FC Porto 2-0 SC Braga | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
SC Braga score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Porto score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Porto | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Braga sit 13th in Primeira Liga (1 points from 1 matches) and FC Porto sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Braga vs FC Porto?
- The Footlab model makes FC Porto the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for SC Braga.
- Where and when is SC Braga vs FC Porto played?
- SC Braga vs FC Porto is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Braga, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.