Where and when is Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro played?

Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro is played on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 20Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valentín González, Ciudad de México

Acambaro

Calor de San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Calor de San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Acambaro (1,854) and Calor de San Pedro (1,888).

Acambaro win42 %

Draw26 %

Calor de San Pedro win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acambaro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Calor de San Pedro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acambaro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)	0-4	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	0-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026	Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)	1-0	Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026	Huracanes Izcalli(away)	8-3	Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026	Dragones de Oaxaca(away)	2-1	Liga Premier Serie B

Calor de San Pedro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Deportiva Venados(away)	1-2	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026	Deportiva Venados(home)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026	Lobos ULMX(home)	4-1	Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026	Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)	2-0	Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026	Real Apodaca(away)	0-1	Liga Premier Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Acambaro win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Calor de San Pedro win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 18, 2025	Acambaro 3-1 Calor de San Pedro	Liga Premier Serie B
Sep 14, 2024	Calor de San Pedro 3-2 Acambaro	Liga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro on Jan 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Acambaro	1.5	2.0	2	9/15	9/15
Calor de San Pedro	1.3	0.9	5	6/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Calor de San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37	26	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro?: The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Calor de San Pedro.
Where and when is Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro played?: Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro is played on February 14, 2027 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.