Match

Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa

Calor de San PedroAcambaro

The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Acambaro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Calor de San Pedro (1,888) and Acambaro (1,854).

Calor de San Pedro win50 %
Draw25 %
Acambaro win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Acambaro have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Calor de San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-2Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 16, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 12, 2026Lobos ULMX(home)4-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 4, 2026Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home)2-0Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 29, 2026Real Apodaca(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A
Acambaro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Huracanes Izcalli(away)8-3Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-1Liga Premier Serie B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Calor de San Pedro win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Acambaro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2025Acambaro 3-1 Calor de San PedroLiga Premier Serie B
Sep 14, 2024Calor de San Pedro 3-2 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B

Last archived meeting: Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro on Jan 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Calor de San Pedro1.30.956/156/15
Acambaro1.52.029/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Calor de San Pedro261277372644

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro?
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Acambaro.
Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro played?
Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Calor de San Pedro and Acambaro

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