Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 6Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, Reynosa
The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Acambaro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Calor de San Pedro (1,888) and Acambaro (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Calor de San Pedro have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Acambaro have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(away) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Deportiva Venados(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 4-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gavilanes FC Matamoros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Real Apodaca(away) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away) | 0-4 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home) | 0-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Huracanes Izcalli(away) | 8-3 | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(away) | 2-1 | Liga Premier Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Calor de San Pedro win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Acambaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Acambaro 3-1 Calor de San Pedro | Liga Premier Serie B |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Calor de San Pedro 3-2 Acambaro | Liga Premier Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Acambaro vs Calor de San Pedro on Jan 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Calor de San Pedro score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calor de San Pedro | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Acambaro | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Calor de San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 26 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro?
- The Footlab model makes Calor de San Pedro the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Acambaro.
- Where and when is Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro played?
- Calor de San Pedro vs Acambaro is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Unidad Deportiva Solidaridad, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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