Match

Acambaro vs Héroes de Zaci: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 12Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valentín González, Ciudad de México

AcambaroHéroes de Zaci

The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Héroes de Zaci. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acambaro vs Héroes de Zaci?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Acambaro (1,833) and Héroes de Zaci (1,788).

Acambaro win51 %
Draw25 %
Héroes de Zaci win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acambaro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Héroes de Zaci have 6, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acambaro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Huracanes Izcalli(away)8-3Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-1Liga Premier Serie B
Héroes de Zaci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Montañeses(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 5, 2026Neza(away)6-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 1, 2026Cañoneros Marina(away)0-5Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 28, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie A
Mar 13, 2026Celaya(home)3-2Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Héroes de Zaci score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acambaro1.52.029/159/15
Héroes de Zaci1.22.335/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Héroes de Zaci2410212334634

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acambaro vs Héroes de Zaci?
The Footlab model makes Acambaro the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Héroes de Zaci.
Where and when is Acambaro vs Héroes de Zaci played?
Acambaro vs Héroes de Zaci is played on November 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Acambaro and Héroes de Zaci

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