Match

Accrington ST vs Gillingham: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire

Accrington STGillingham

The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Gillingham. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Accrington ST vs Gillingham?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Accrington ST (1,774) and Gillingham (1,773).

50%28%22%
Accrington ST winDrawGillingham win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Gillingham

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2
  1. 39J. Woods
  2. 23T. Walton
  1. 38C. O'Brien
  2. 33D. Tutonda
  3. 2D. Love
  4. 14Stefan Mols
  5. 10Alex Henderson
  1. 17D. Matthews
  2. 28S. Conneely
  3. 25J. Smith
  1. 1L. Moulden

Gillingham

3-4-2-1
  1. 11L. Sillah
  1. 16J. Brophy
  2. 22N. Freeman
  3. 10Ronan Hale
  4. 24H. Waldock
  5. 14R. McKenzie
  6. 12G. McCleary
  1. 5A. Smith
  2. 26L. Dobbs
  3. 19O. Beckles
  1. 1O. Wright

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Gillingham have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Accrington ST
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Salford City(home)1-1EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Cheltenham(home)2-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Swindon Town(away)1-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Sunderland U21(home)3-3EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Newport County(home)0-0League Two
Gillingham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Newport County(home)0-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026York(away)0-3League Two
Sep 22, 2026Cambridge United(home)1-4EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Bristol Rovers(home)3-0League Two
Sep 12, 2026Tranmere(home)2-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Accrington ST win, 2 draws, 3 Gillingham wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Gillingham 2-0 Accrington STLeague Two
Aug 2, 2025Accrington ST 1-1 GillinghamLeague Two
Mar 15, 2025Accrington ST 1-1 GillinghamLeague Two
Oct 12, 2024Gillingham 1-2 Accrington STLeague Two
Jan 13, 2024Accrington ST 1-2 GillinghamLeague Two
Aug 12, 2023Gillingham 1-0 Accrington STLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Gillingham vs Accrington ST on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Accrington ST score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gillingham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Accrington ST1.51.359/158/15
Gillingham1.21.265/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Accrington ST sit 16th in League Two (10 points from 9 matches) and Gillingham sit 10th (13 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gillingham934211913
16Accrington ST9243131410

A question about Accrington ST vs Gillingham?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Gillingham?
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Gillingham.
Where and when is Accrington ST vs Gillingham played?
Accrington ST vs Gillingham is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Accrington ST and Gillingham

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