Match

Colchester vs Exeter City: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex

ColchesterExeter City

The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Exeter City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colchester vs Exeter City?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Colchester (1,805) and Exeter City (1,846).

43%28%29%
Colchester winDrawExeter City win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Colchester vs Exeter City

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Colchester

4-2-3-1
  1. 27O. Thorn
  1. 12M. Sesay
  2. 7H. Anderson
  3. 10J. Payne
  4. 26J. Williams
  5. 15B. Lubala
  1. 3E. Iandolo
  2. 5J. Tucker
  3. 6P. Digby
  4. 44S. Kuffour
  1. 22T. Lo-Tutala

Exeter City

4-2-3-1
  1. 10J. Gordon
  1. 16C. Cummins
  2. 31J. Doyle-Hayes
  3. 8T. Perry
  4. 20George Birch
  5. 25A. Scully
  1. 5J. Fitzwater
  2. 3L. Woodhouse
  3. 2L. Samuel
  4. 6J. Taylor
  1. 1J. Bycroft

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Exeter City have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colchester
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Newport County(away)0-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Luton(home)1-1EFL Trophy
Sep 26, 2026Shrewsbury(away)2-2League Two
Sep 22, 2026Peterborough(away)1-3EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Cheltenham(home)1-1League Two
Exeter City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Shrewsbury(away)1-0League Two
Oct 6, 2026Oxford United(home)2-2EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Rotherham(home)1-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)0-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Cheltenham(away)2-2EFL Trophy

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colchester wins, 0 draws, 4 Exeter City wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 15, 2022Exeter City 2-0 ColchesterLeague Two
Nov 23, 2021Colchester 3-1 Exeter CityLeague Two
Feb 23, 2021Colchester 1-2 Exeter CityLeague Two
Nov 24, 2020Exeter City 6-1 ColchesterLeague Two
Jun 22, 2020Exeter City 3-1 ColchesterLeague Two
Jun 18, 2020Colchester 1-0 Exeter CityLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Colchester on Apr 15, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colchester0.91.619/156/15
Exeter City0.90.965/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colchester sit 19th in League Two (10 points from 9 matches) and Exeter City sit 14th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Exeter City103346612
19Colchester9243101310

A question about Colchester vs Exeter City?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Exeter City?
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Exeter City.
Where and when is Colchester vs Exeter City played?
Colchester vs Exeter City is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Colchester and Exeter City

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