ACV vs Sportlust '46: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Catawiki Sportpark, Assen
The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sportlust '46. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ACV vs Sportlust '46?
On Elo ratings, ACV has 1,841 points and Sportlust '46 1,760.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ACV vs Sportlust '46
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ACV
4-3-3- 18J. Schraven
- 7G. Jasper
- 27T. Lemmen
- 24Ties Oostra
- 20T. van der Werff
- 11J. Mulder
- 4Y. Hettinga
- 5E. Mansaray
- 3N. Wielink
- 28K. Bannani
- 26M. Wolfs
Sportlust '46
3-4-2-1- 32Nordin Zoufri
- 6A. Lemrini
- 10I. van Otterlo
- 8M. Fichtinger
- 21C. van Hussen
- 7Kesly den Haag
- 5Martijn Jansen
- 4Fabio Helderton
- 3Coen van der Hoek
- 25Kjeld van den Hoek
- 1S. Damkalis
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ACV have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sportlust '46 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 ACV win, 2 draws, 1 Sportlust '46 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | ACV 3-0 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Sportlust '46 1-1 ACV | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Sportlust '46 0-0 ACV | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 16, 2021 | ACV 1-2 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
ACV score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sportlust '46 score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACV | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sportlust '46 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ACV sit 1st in Derde Divisie (23 points from 10 matches) and Sportlust '46 sit 7th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 23 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
A question about ACV vs Sportlust '46?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ACV vs Sportlust '46?
- The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sportlust '46.
- Where and when is ACV vs Sportlust '46 played?
- ACV vs Sportlust '46 is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Catawiki Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.