ACV vs Harkemase Boys: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Catawiki Sportpark, Assen
The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Harkemase Boys. The most likely score is 1-1. If ACV wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,028 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ACV vs Harkemase Boys?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate ACV (1,918) and Harkemase Boys (1,901).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ACV vs Harkemase Boys
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ACV
4-3-3- 9J. Schraven
- 27T. Lemmen
- 11Sander Dzemidzic
- 10T. van der Werff
- 47D. Nunumete
- 19S. Potma
- 4Y. Hettinga
- 2Finn Berends
- 3N. Wielink
- 5E. Mansaray
- 26M. Wolfs
Harkemase Boys
Not enough data to predict the Harkemase Boys lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ACV have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Harkemase Boys have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 29, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-2 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 ACV wins, 0 draws, 1 Harkemase Boys win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | ACV 2-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Harkemase Boys 1-2 ACV | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Harkemase Boys 2-3 ACV | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 25, 2021 | ACV 0-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: ACV vs Harkemase Boys on Jan 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
ACV score 2.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Harkemase Boys score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACV | 2.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Harkemase Boys | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ACV sit 1st in Derde Divisie (27 points from 12 matches) and Harkemase Boys sit 3rd (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
A question about ACV vs Harkemase Boys?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ACV vs Harkemase Boys?
- The Footlab AI model makes ACV the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Harkemase Boys.
- Where and when is ACV vs Harkemase Boys played?
- ACV vs Harkemase Boys is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Catawiki Sportpark, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.