FC Lisse vs Groene Ster: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ter Specke, Lisse
The Footlab AI model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Groene Ster. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,141 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Lisse vs Groene Ster?
FC Lisse starts as the favourite with a 295-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,659).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Lisse vs Groene Ster
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Lisse
4-3-3- 22J. Hak
- 8J. Zwetsloot
- 9E. Stroo
- 15M. Scholten
- 24R. van Ekeris
- 3Gijs de Bruin
- 2O. El Baad
- 23Q. Poulina
- 32Julian Popma
- 5D. Bäly
- 1S. Verswijveren
Groene Ster
4-3-3- 9Bjorn Stassen
- 21L. Golsteijn
- 11S. Ahidar
- 27M. Germonprez
- 18T. Hajjaji
- 8B. Simons
- 17D. Stassar
- 23D. Zwartjes
- 2J. de Kleijn
- 10C. Ghijsen
- 1M. Voss
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Lisse have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | GOES(away) | 6-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | EVV(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | GOES(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FC Lisse wins, 2 draws, 0 Groene Ster wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Groene Ster 2-2 FC Lisse | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 23, 2025 | FC Lisse 1-1 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Groene Ster vs FC Lisse on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Lisse score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.5 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Lisse | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.5 | 2.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Lisse sit 2nd in Derde Divisie (25 points from 10 matches) and Groene Ster sit 14th (9 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lisse | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 25 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 9 |
A question about FC Lisse vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Lisse vs Groene Ster?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 84%, against 11% for a draw and 5% for Groene Ster.
- Where and when is FC Lisse vs Groene Ster played?
- FC Lisse vs Groene Ster is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ter Specke, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.