Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Noorderslag, Staphorst
The Footlab AI model makes VV Scherpenzeel the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Staphorst. The most likely score is 1-1. If VV Scherpenzeel wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel?
VV Scherpenzeel starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,812 vs 1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
VV Scherpenzeel
4-3-3- 8Mark de Graaf
- 11L. ten Teije
- 10P. Biya
- 21Timo Jochemsen
- 15Tristan Wallet
- 19J. Rebergen
- 18B. Beijer
- 25C. Davelaar
- 17M. Marbouh
- 12Guido den Daas
- 1S. Brummel
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Staphorst have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; VV Scherpenzeel have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ACV(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | ACV(home) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Staphorst win, 1 draw, 0 VV Scherpenzeel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel 3-3 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Staphorst 5-1 VV Scherpenzeel | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: VV Scherpenzeel vs Staphorst on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Staphorst score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VV Scherpenzeel score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staphorst | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| VV Scherpenzeel | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Staphorst sit 14th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 9 matches) and VV Scherpenzeel sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 22 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel?
- The Footlab AI model makes VV Scherpenzeel the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Staphorst.
- Where and when is Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel played?
- Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Noorderslag, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.