ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar is a heavy favourite: 2,147 Elo points against 1,846 — a 301-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 8, 7 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(away) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 4-0 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ADO Den Haag win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 AZ Alkmaar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 2-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Jan 16, 2021 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 2-2 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 AZ Alkmaar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2020 | AZ Alkmaar 4-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Sep 22, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 0-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (0 points from 3 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The Footlab model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar played?
- ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.