ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bingoal Stadion, ‘s-Gravenhage
The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar starts as the favourite with a 271-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 1,879).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ADO Den Haag
4-3-3- 46Y. Eduardo
- 17J. Hawkins
- 27N. Thomas
- 25J. Kilo
- 11E. Rottier
- 33M. Šín
- 3P. Mulder
- 4M. Waem
- 5J. Jensen-Abbew
- 15M. Hokke
- 1K. Nikiéma
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1- 9M. Meerdink
- 6P. Koopmeiners
- 11R. Daal
- 21D. Kwakman
- 17V. Byskov
- 7Weslley Patati
- 4L. Schouten
- 22E. Dijkstra
- 3W. Goes
- 34M. de Wit
- 28J. De Busser
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ADO Den Haag have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; AZ Alkmaar have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 1-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Twente(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ADO Den Haag win, 1 draw, 4 AZ Alkmaar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar 2-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Jan 16, 2021 | AZ Alkmaar 2-1 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 2-2 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2020 | ADO Den Haag 1-0 AZ Alkmaar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2020 | AZ Alkmaar 4-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Sep 22, 2019 | ADO Den Haag 0-1 AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ADO Den Haag score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; AZ Alkmaar score 2.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| AZ Alkmaar | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ADO Den Haag sit 17th in Eredivisie (6 points from 11 matches) and AZ Alkmaar sit 5th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 20 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 6 |
A question about ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar?
- The Footlab AI model makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar played?
- ADO Den Haag vs AZ Alkmaar is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bingoal Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.