Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Heerenveen. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (2,214 vs 1,973).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1- 9D. Vente
- 20J. Trenskow
- 7M. Rivera
- 36N. Courtens
- 14L. Smans
- 16M. Linday
- 4S. Kersten
- 19V. Zagaritis
- 3M. Willemsen
- 45O. Braude
- 22B. Klaverboer
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heerenveen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 4-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Heerenveen win, 0 draws, 5 PSV Eindhoven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 21, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Feb 4, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Heerenveen | KNVB Beker |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Heerenveen 0-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 2-1 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Heerenveen 1-0 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen on Oct 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heerenveen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heerenveen sit 10th in Eredivisie (9 points from 8 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Heerenveen.
- Where and when is Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- Heerenveen vs PSV Eindhoven is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Abe Lenstra Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.