Telstar vs Excelsior: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab AI model makes Telstar the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior. The most likely score is 1-1. If Telstar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs Excelsior?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Telstar (1,879) and Excelsior (1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Telstar vs Excelsior
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Telstar
3-4-2-1- 9Jelani Seedorf
- 10T. Owusu
- 7Rui Mendes
- 27P. Brouwer
- 17N. Rossen
- 3Gerald Alders
- 2J. Hardeveld
- 43M. Peersman
- 4A. Soualhia
- 16S. Valk
- 1R. Koeman
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Excelsior have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Twente(away) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Telstar win, 2 draws, 3 Excelsior wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Excelsior 2-2 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Telstar 2-2 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Telstar 1-3 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Excelsior 3-2 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 8, 2022 | Excelsior 1-4 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Telstar 2-5 Excelsior | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 15th in Eredivisie (6 points from 8 matches) and Excelsior sit 9th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Telstar vs Excelsior?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs Excelsior?
- The Footlab AI model makes Telstar the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Excelsior.
- Where and when is Telstar vs Excelsior played?
- Telstar vs Excelsior is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.