Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam
The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Sparta Rotterdam (1,891) and Fortuna Sittard (1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Rotterdam have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Apoel Nicosia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Metz(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sparta Rotterdam win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Fortuna Sittard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 4-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Sparta Rotterdam on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th in Eredivisie (4 points from 3 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Rotterdam the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard played?
- Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.