NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC Nijmegen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate NEC Nijmegen (1,995) and Utrecht (1,999).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1- 30B. Linssen
- 20N. Lebreton
- 6D. Nejašmić
- 34Kevin Kers
- 99Clement Bischoff
- 9T. Chery
- 10D. Tadić
- 21T. Storm
- 24Deveron Fonville
- 73Gabriel Brás
- 1G. Crettaz
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 8J. van Overeem
- 38O. Agougil
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NEC Nijmegen have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Utrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NEC Nijmegen wins, 0 draws, 4 Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Utrecht 0-1 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Nov 24, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen 1-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Utrecht 1-0 NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie |
| Sep 23, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen 3-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
NEC Nijmegen score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NEC Nijmegen sit 12th in Eredivisie (10 points from 9 matches) and Utrecht sit 11th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
A question about NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Utrecht.
- Where and when is NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht played?
- NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht is played on May 23, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Goffertstadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.