Match

Aduana Stars vs Samartex: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro

Aduana StarsSamartex

The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 56%, against 32% for a draw and 13% for Samartex. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aduana Stars vs Samartex?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Aduana Stars (1,574) and Samartex (1,581).

Aduana Stars win56 %
Draw32 %
Samartex win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aduana Stars have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Samartex have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aduana Stars
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 18, 2026Basake Holy Stars(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Vision(away)0-3Premier League
May 17, 2026Young Apostles(home)3-1Premier League
May 10, 2026Hearts of Oak(away)0-0Premier League
May 6, 2026Basake Holy Stars(away)0-2Premier League
Samartex
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Young Apostles(away)0-2Premier League
May 17, 2026Hearts of Oak(home)1-0Premier League
May 10, 2026Heart of Lions(away)0-3Premier League
May 6, 2026Bibiani Gold Stars(away)0-2Premier League
May 3, 2026Basake Holy Stars(home)3-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aduana Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Samartex win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Aduana Stars 0-0 SamartexPremier League
Oct 6, 2025Samartex 1-0 Aduana StarsPremier League
Aug 28, 2025Samartex 0-1 Aduana StarsFriendlies Clubs
Jun 1, 2025Samartex 2-1 Aduana StarsPremier League
Jan 5, 2025Aduana Stars 0-1 SamartexPremier League
Feb 26, 2024Aduana Stars 1-2 SamartexPremier League

Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Samartex on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aduana Stars0.70.873/155/15
Samartex0.71.064/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aduana Stars sit 6th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Samartex sit 5th (50 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Samartex34131110262550
6Aduana Stars34131110292450

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aduana Stars vs Samartex?
The Footlab model makes Aduana Stars the favourite at 56%, against 32% for a draw and 13% for Samartex.
Where and when is Aduana Stars vs Samartex played?
Aduana Stars vs Samartex is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Agyeman Badu Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Aduana Stars and Samartex

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