Ægir vs Grindavik: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)GeoSalmo völlurinn, Þorlákshöfn
The Footlab model makes Grindavik the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Ægir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ægir vs Grindavik?
Grindavik starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,518 vs 1,398).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ægir have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Grindavik have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afturelding(home) | 0-7 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Leiknir R.(away) | 1-6 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Völsungur(home) | 0-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 6, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(away) | 2-3 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Njardvik(home) | 0-1 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fylkir(away) | 1-6 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Grotta(home) | 0-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(home) | 2-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Afturelding(away) | 1-4 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Leiknir R.(home) | 1-0 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ægir win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Grindavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Grindavik 0-0 Ægir | 1. Deild |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Grindavik 7-2 Ægir | 1. Deild |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Ægir 1-3 Grindavik | 1. Deild |
How many goals should we expect?
Ægir score 1.1 and concede 3.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grindavik score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ægir | 1.1 | 3.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Grindavik | 0.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ægir sit 12th in 1. Deild (8 points from 20 matches) and Grindavik sit 10th (21 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grindavik | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
| 12 | Ægir | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 61 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ægir vs Grindavik?
- The Footlab model makes Grindavik the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Ægir.
- Where and when is Ægir vs Grindavik played?
- Ægir vs Grindavik is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at GeoSalmo völlurinn, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.