Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik: prediction and stats
1. DeildRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Olísvöllurinn, Hnífsdalur, Ísafjarðabær
The Footlab model makes Throttur Reykjavik the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Vestri. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik?
Throttur Reykjavik starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,723 vs 1,554).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vestri have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Throttur Reykjavik have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leiknir R.(home) | 2-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Völsungur(away) | 0-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | IR Reykjavik(home) | 1-0 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Njardvik(away) | 1-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Grotta(home) | 0-3 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(away) | 0-3 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Fylkir(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Grindavik(away) | 1-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grotta(away) | 1-1 | 1. Deild |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Afturelding(home) | 4-1 | 1. Deild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Vestri win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Throttur Reykjavik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik 1-1 Vestri | 1. Deild |
| Mar 25, 2025 | Throttur Reykjavik 0-1 Vestri | League Cup |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Vestri 2-1 Throttur Reykjavik | 1. Deild |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Throttur Reykjavik 1-2 Vestri | 1. Deild |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Vestri 2-1 Throttur Reykjavik | 1. Deild |
| May 15, 2021 | Throttur Reykjavik 1-3 Vestri | 1. Deild |
Last archived meeting: Throttur Reykjavik vs Vestri on Jun 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vestri score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Throttur Reykjavik score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vestri | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Throttur Reykjavik | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vestri sit 7th in 1. Deild (27 points from 20 matches) and Throttur Reykjavik sit 2nd (37 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Throttur Reykjavik | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 23 | 37 |
| 7 | Vestri | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik?
- The Footlab model makes Throttur Reykjavik the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Vestri.
- Where and when is Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik played?
- Vestri vs Throttur Reykjavik is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Olísvöllurinn, in the 1. Deild.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.